AFC Bournemouth
Played
21
Record
6-8-7
Points
26
Goal Diff
-6
Form
WLDLD
Merit
2.4
Key Patterns
Defensive Concerns
Conceding 1.90 goals per match
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Struggle Away
Conceding 2.90 goals per away match
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.67
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.62
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
97%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.48
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
24%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
29%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
29%
Accurate
29%
Partial
43%
Off
Total Predictions21
Avg pG Error0.96
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.32
"This team is harder to predict than average"
Recent Form
All ResultsW
vs Tottenham Hotspur
3 - 2
xG: 1.2 - 1.6
L
vs Arsenal
2 - 3
xG: 0.9 - 1.3
D
@ Chelsea
2 - 2
xG: 3.5 - 2.3
L
@ Brentford
1 - 4
xG: 2.6 - 2.9
D
vs Burnley
1 - 1
xG: 1.8 - 0.5
D
@ Manchester United
4 - 4
xG: 2.4 - 3.2
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Mon 19 Jan
1.17 - 2.23
predicted
Sat 24 Jan
1.89 - 1.11
predicted
Sat 31 Jan
1.67 - 1.39
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (7 matches)
2 upset alerts, 2 converted(100% vulnerability)
As Underdog (14 matches)
1 upsets from 4 alert matches(25% conversion)
"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
2/3 correct(67% success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 67% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Chelsea
16 matches played
3W - 5D - 8L
Last 5: DDDLL
Tottenham Hotspur
16 matches played
5W - 3D - 8L
Last 5: WWDWL
West Ham United
15 matches played
3W - 8D - 4L
Last 5: DDDDD
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
11
Played
10
5
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
5
16
Goals For
18
11
Goals Against
29
19
Points
7