AFC Bournemouth
Played
28
Record
9-12-7
Points
39
Goal Diff
-2
Form
DDWDW
Merit
2.2
Key Patterns
Struggle Away
Conceding 2.21 goals per away match
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.69
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.57
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
93%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.48
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
25%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
32%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
36%
Accurate
25%
Partial
39%
Off
Total Predictions28
Avg pG Error0.91
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.25
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're favorites"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
vs Sunderland
1 - 1
xG: 1.8 - 1.1
D
@ West Ham United
0 - 0
xG: 0.5 - 2.3
W
@ Everton
2 - 1
xG: 1.4 - 2.3
D
vs Aston Villa
1 - 1
xG: 1.8 - 0.7
W
@ Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
xG: 1.6 - 2.1
W
vs Liverpool
3 - 2
xG: 3.3 - 0.9
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Tue 3 Mar
0.80 - 1.21
predicted
Sat 14 Mar
1.36 - 0.99
predicted
Sat 21 Mar
0.78 - 1.46
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (8 matches)
3 upset alerts, 3 converted(100% vulnerability)
As Underdog (20 matches)
4 upsets from 7 alert matches(57% conversion)
"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them and capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
2/4 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
0/1 correct fades
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 40% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Everton
16 matches played
9W - 1D - 6L
Last 5: WLWWW
Chelsea
16 matches played
3W - 5D - 8L
Last 5: DDDLL
Tottenham Hotspur
16 matches played
5W - 3D - 8L
Last 5: WWDWL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
14
Played
14
6
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
5
21
Goals For
23
15
Goals Against
31
24
Points
15