AFC Bournemouth
Played
32
Record
10-15-7
Points
45
Goal Diff
-1
Form
WDDDD
Merit
2.2
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.73
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.50
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
87%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.52
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
28%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
31%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
31%
Accurate
28%
Partial
41%
Off
Total Predictions32
Avg pG Error0.94
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.20
"This team is harder to predict than average"
Recent Form
All ResultsW
@ Arsenal
2 - 1
xG: 1.4 - 3.2
D
vs Manchester United
2 - 2
xG: 1.8 - 1.8
D
@ Burnley
0 - 0
xG: 2.4 - 1.7
D
vs Brentford
0 - 0
xG: 2.3 - 0.7
D
vs Sunderland
1 - 1
xG: 1.8 - 1.1
D
@ West Ham United
0 - 0
xG: 0.5 - 2.3
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sat 18 Apr
0.90 - 1.52
predicted
Wed 22 Apr
1.58 - 1.03
predicted
Sat 2 May
1.07 - 1.63
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (9 matches)
4 upset alerts, 4 converted(100% vulnerability)
As Underdog (23 matches)
6 upsets from 9 alert matches(67% conversion)
"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them and capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
2/4 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
0/1 correct fades
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 40% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Chelsea
16 matches played
3W - 5D - 8L
Last 5: DDDLL
West Ham United
16 matches played
3W - 9D - 4L
Last 5: DDDDD
Tottenham Hotspur
16 matches played
5W - 3D - 8L
Last 5: WWDWL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
16
Played
16
6
Wins
4
8
Draws
7
2
Losses
5
23
Goals For
25
17
Goals Against
32
26
Points
19