Aston Villa
Played
21
Record
13-4-4
Points
43
Goal Diff
+9
Form
DWLWW
Merit
2.4
Key Patterns
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.42
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.57
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
111%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.59
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
29%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
62%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
38%
Accurate
14%
Partial
48%
Off
Total Predictions21
Avg pG Error0.90
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.18
"This team is harder to predict than average - more accurate at home matches"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
@ Crystal Palace
0 - 0
xG: 2.1 - 1.3
W
vs Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
xG: 1.4 - 0.9
L
@ Arsenal
1 - 4
xG: 2.9 - 4.4
W
@ Chelsea
2 - 1
xG: 2.1 - 2.0
W
vs Manchester United
2 - 1
xG: 1.9 - 1.3
W
@ West Ham United
3 - 2
xG: 0.6 - 1.3
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sun 18 Jan
1.91 - 1.05
predicted
Sun 25 Jan
0.97 - 2.01
predicted
Sun 1 Feb
2.21 - 0.74
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (8 matches)
0 upset alerts, 0 converted
As Underdog (13 matches)
0 upsets from 0 alert matches
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/1 correct(100% success)
Model Faded Them
2/4 correct fades(50% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 60% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Crystal Palace
14 matches played
5W - 3D - 6L
Last 5: DLLDL
Arsenal
14 matches played
6W - 1D - 7L
Last 5: LWDLW
Chelsea
13 matches played
5W - 2D - 6L
Last 5: WWLDW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
10
Played
11
8
Wins
5
1
Draws
3
1
Losses
3
18
Goals For
15
8
Goals Against
16
25
Points
18