
Aston Villa
Played
37
Record
18-8-11
Points
62
Goal Diff
+6
Form
WDLLW
Merit
2.1
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.45
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.46
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
100%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.49
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
24%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
49%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
38%
Accurate
19%
Partial
43%
Off
Total Predictions37
Avg pG Error0.98
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.01
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsW
vs Liverpool
4 - 2
xG: 2.5 - 1.6
D
@ Burnley
2 - 2
xG: 1.8 - 1.7
L
vs Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
xG: 0.6 - 1.1
L
@ Fulham
0 - 1
xG: 0.9 - 1.2
W
vs Sunderland
4 - 3
xG: 3.9 - 1.6
D
@ Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
xG: 1.4 - 0.8
Upcoming Fixtures
All PredictionsNo upcoming fixtures
Upset Profile
As Favorite (17 matches)
2 upset alerts, 2 converted(100% vulnerability)
As Underdog (20 matches)
2 upsets from 3 alert matches(67% conversion)
"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them and capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
3/5 correct(60% success)
Model Faded Them
2/4 correct fades(50% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 56% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2HTottenham Hotspur
14 matches played
6W - 0D - 8L
Last 5: LWWLL
Wolverhampton Wanderers
14 matches played
4W - 3D - 7L
Last 5: LWLWW
West Ham United
14 matches played
4W - 5D - 5L
Last 5: WWDWD
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
19
Played
18
12
Wins
6
2
Draws
6
5
Losses
6
32
Goals For
22
22
Goals Against
26
38
Points
24