Aston Villa
Played
28
Record
15-6-7
Points
51
Goal Diff
+8
Form
LDWDL
Merit
1.9
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.35
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.36
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
100%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.48
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
29%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
54%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
32%
Accurate
21%
Partial
46%
Off
Total Predictions28
Avg pG Error0.95
Prediction BiasOver by 0.09
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
@ Wolverhampton Wanderers
0 - 2
xG: 1.3 - 1.5
D
vs Leeds United
1 - 1
xG: 1.3 - 1.3
W
vs Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
xG: 0.6 - 0.5
D
@ AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
xG: 0.7 - 1.8
L
vs Brentford
0 - 1
xG: 2.1 - 0.3
W
@ Newcastle United
2 - 0
xG: 1.3 - 1.9
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Wed 4 Mar
1.66 - 1.44
predicted
Sat 14 Mar
1.49 - 1.38
predicted
Sat 21 Mar
2.06 - 0.78
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (13 matches)
2 upset alerts, 2 converted(100% vulnerability)
As Underdog (15 matches)
1 upsets from 1 alert matches(100% conversion)
"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/2 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
2/4 correct fades(50% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 50% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Brighton & Hove Albion
14 matches played
9W - 3D - 2L
Last 5: WWWDL
Wolverhampton Wanderers
14 matches played
4W - 3D - 7L
Last 5: LWLWW
Arsenal
14 matches played
6W - 1D - 7L
Last 5: LWDLW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
14
Played
14
9
Wins
6
2
Draws
4
3
Losses
4
20
Goals For
18
11
Goals Against
19
29
Points
22