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Serie A2025/268th place

Atalanta

Played
20
Record
7-8-5
Points
29
Goal Diff
+5
Form
DWWLW
Merit
2.5

Key Patterns

Struggling to Convert

Only converting 76% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table

Creating Plenty of Chances

Averaging 14.2 shots per match - lots of attacking opportunities

Controlling Possession

Averaging 56% possession - dictating the tempo

Due for a Bounce Back

Scoring 0.40 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
1.65
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.25
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
76%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.18
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
30%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
35%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

42%
Accurate
42%
Partial
16%
Off
Total Predictions19
Avg pG Error0.67
Prediction BiasOver by 0.04

"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - especially when they're underdogs"

Recent Form

All Results
D
@ Pisa
1 - 1
xG: 1.8 - 1.6
W
vs Torino
2 - 0
xG: 2.5 - 0.9
W
@ Bologna
2 - 0
xG: 1.3 - 1.1
L
vs Inter
0 - 1
xG: 1.2 - 1.6
W
@ Genoa
1 - 0
xG: 1.8 - 1.0
W
vs Cagliari
2 - 1
xG: 3.1 - 0.6

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
vs Parma
Sun 25 Jan
@ Como
Sun 1 Feb
vs Cremonese
Sun 8 Feb

Upset Profile

As Favorite (15 matches)
6 upset alerts, 4 converted(67% vulnerability)
As Underdog (5 matches)
0 upsets from 0 alert matches

"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them"

Contrarian Signals

Model Backed Them
1/5 correct(20% success)
Model Faded Them
1/1 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form is reliable for this team

"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Torino
20 matches played
10W - 6D - 4L
Last 5: WWDLW
Juventus
19 matches played
3W - 12D - 4L
Last 5: DWDDD
Bologna
19 matches played
12W - 3D - 4L
Last 5: WWDLL

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
10
Played
10
4
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
3
13
Goals For
12
9
Goals Against
11
16
Points
13