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Serie A2025/267th place

Atalanta

Played
26
Record
11-9-6
Points
42
Goal Diff
+12
Form
LWWWD
Merit
2.2

Key Patterns

Struggling to Convert

Only converting 74% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table

Creating Plenty of Chances

Averaging 15.0 shots per match - lots of attacking opportunities

Controlling Possession

Averaging 55% possession - dictating the tempo

Due for a Bounce Back

Scoring 0.48 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
1.86
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.38
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
74%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.42
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
35%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
42%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

40%
Accurate
36%
Partial
24%
Off
Total Predictions25
Avg pG Error0.72
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.07

"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"

Recent Form

All Results
L
@ Sassuolo
1 - 2
xG: 3.8 - 1.8
W
vs Napoli
2 - 1
xG: 1.0 - 1.1
W
@ Lazio
2 - 0
xG: 1.8 - 1.5
W
vs Cremonese
2 - 1
xG: 3.1 - 0.9
D
@ Como
0 - 0
xG: 0.8 - 6.0
W
vs Parma
4 - 0
xG: 5.0 - 1.9

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
vs Udinese
Sat 7 Mar
@ Inter
Sun 15 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
Sun 22 Mar

Upset Profile

As Favorite (19 matches)
6 upset alerts, 4 converted(67% vulnerability)
As Underdog (7 matches)
1 upsets from 1 alert matches(100% conversion)

"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them"

Contrarian Signals

Model Backed Them
1/5 correct(20% success)
Model Faded Them
1/1 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form is reliable for this team

"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Napoli
20 matches played
9W - 1D - 10L
Last 5: WLLWW
Lazio
20 matches played
7W - 7D - 6L
Last 5: WDLDW
Torino
20 matches played
10W - 6D - 4L
Last 5: WWDLW

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
13
Played
13
7
Wins
4
4
Draws
5
2
Losses
4
21
Goals For
15
11
Goals Against
13
25
Points
17