Auxerre
Played
29
Record
5-9-15
Points
24
Goal Diff
-14
Form
DDWLD
Merit
2.7
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 66% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.40 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Counter-Attack Style
Only 44% possession - playing on the break
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.20
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
0.79
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
66%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.40
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
28%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
17%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
28%
Accurate
48%
Partial
24%
Off
Total Predictions29
Avg pG Error0.80
Prediction BiasOver by 0.10
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - more accurate in away matches, especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
vs Nantes
0 - 0
xG: 0.8 - 1.4
D
@ Le Havre
1 - 1
xG: 2.4 - 0.7
W
vs Brest
3 - 0
xG: 2.1 - 0.9
L
@ Olympique Marseille
0 - 1
xG: 0.3 - 1.1
D
vs Strasbourg
0 - 0
xG: 1.0 - 1.3
D
@ Lorient
2 - 2
xG: 2.0 - 1.0
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sun 19 Apr
1.16 - 2.22
predicted
Sat 25 Apr
Sun 3 May
Upset Profile
As Favorite (3 matches)
2 upset alerts, 1 converted(50% vulnerability)
As Underdog (26 matches)
7 upsets from 9 alert matches(78% conversion)
"This team is capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
0/2 correct
Model Faded Them
2/2 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 50% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Rennes
6 matches played
2W - 2D - 2L
Last 5: LDWWD
Toulouse
6 matches played
1W - 3D - 2L
Last 5: DWDLD
Nantes
6 matches played
1W - 2D - 3L
Last 5: DLDLW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
15
Played
14
4
Wins
1
4
Draws
5
7
Losses
8
13
Goals For
10
15
Goals Against
22
16
Points
8