Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Played
34
Record
17-8-9
Points
59
Goal Diff
+21
Form
DLWWL
Merit
2.2
Key Patterns
Creating Plenty of Chances
Averaging 15.0 shots per match - lots of attacking opportunities
Controlling Possession
Averaging 59% possession - dictating the tempo
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Prolific at Home
Scoring 2.24 goals per home match
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
2.21
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
2.00
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
90%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.50
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
24%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
50%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
32%
Accurate
27%
Partial
41%
Off
Total Predictions34
Avg pG Error1.22
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.27
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
vs Hamburger SV
1 - 1
xG: 3.1 - 1.6
L
@ VfB Stuttgart
1 - 3
xG: 0.6 - 3.4
W
vs RB Leipzig
4 - 1
xG: 5.4 - 1.5
W
@ FC Köln
2 - 1
xG: 1.9 - 3.5
L
vs FC Augsburg
1 - 2
xG: 3.7 - 1.3
W
@ Borussia Dortmund
1 - 0
xG: 0.7 - 1.0
Upcoming Fixtures
All PredictionsNo upcoming fixtures
Upset Profile
As Favorite (23 matches)
12 upset alerts, 3 converted(25% vulnerability)
As Underdog (11 matches)
2 upsets from 5 alert matches(40% conversion)
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/2 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
1/2 correct fades(50% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 50% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
VfL Wolfsburg
20 matches played
10W - 6D - 4L
Last 5: WWDWW
RB Leipzig
20 matches played
7W - 5D - 8L
Last 5: WWDLW
Borussia Dortmund
20 matches played
6W - 3D - 11L
Last 5: WLLWD
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
17
Played
17
9
Wins
8
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
5
38
Goals For
30
19
Goals Against
28
31
Points
28