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Bundesliga2025/262nd place

Borussia Dortmund

Played
34
Record
22-7-5
Points
73
Goal Diff
+36
Form
WWLWL
Merit
2.0

Key Patterns

Solid at the Back

Keeping clean sheets in 44% of matches

Unpredictable Results

High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict

Fortress at Home

Keeping clean sheets in 53% of home matches

Prolific at Home

Scoring 2.35 goals per home match

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
1.99
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
2.06
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
104%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.27
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
44%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
65%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

41%
Accurate
35%
Partial
24%
Off
Total Predictions34
Avg pG Error0.70
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.14

"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - more accurate in away matches, especially when they're underdogs"

Recent Form

All Results
W
@ Werder Bremen
2 - 0
xG: 3.4 - 0.5
W
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 2
xG: 3.0 - 0.9
L
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 - 1
xG: 0.4 - 2.7
W
vs SC Freiburg
4 - 0
xG: 3.1 - 0.5
L
@ TSG Hoffenheim
1 - 2
xG: 1.3 - 2.2
L
vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0 - 1
xG: 1.0 - 0.7

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
No upcoming fixtures

Upset Profile

As Favorite (28 matches)
5 upset alerts, 2 converted(40% vulnerability)
As Underdog (6 matches)
0 upsets from 1 alert matches

Contrarian Signals

Model Faded Them
3/3 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form can be misleading

"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 100% of the time"

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20 matches played
15W - 1D - 4L
Last 5: LWWDW
Eintracht Frankfurt
20 matches played
11W - 6D - 3L
Last 5: WDLWW
VfL Wolfsburg
20 matches played
17W - 2D - 1L
Last 5: WWWWD

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
17
Played
17
13
Wins
9
2
Draws
5
2
Losses
3
40
Goals For
30
16
Goals Against
18
41
Points
32