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Premier League2025/265th place

Brentford

Played
21
Record
10-3-8
Points
33
Goal Diff
+7
Form
WWDWW
Merit
3.2

Key Patterns

Unpredictable Results

High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict

Prolific at Home

Scoring 2.09 goals per home match

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
1.87
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.67
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
89%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.38
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
24%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
48%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

48%
Accurate
10%
Partial
43%
Off
Total Predictions21
Avg pG Error0.91
Prediction BiasOver by 0.14

"This team is harder to predict than average - more accurate in away matches, especially when they're underdogs"

Recent Form

All Results
W
vs Sunderland
3 - 0
xG: 3.9 - 1.5
W
@ Everton
4 - 2
xG: 3.0 - 1.0
D
vs Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 0
xG: 0.6 - 0.6
W
vs AFC Bournemouth
4 - 1
xG: 2.9 - 2.6
W
@ Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
xG: 1.6 - 1.3
D
vs Leeds United
1 - 1
xG: 0.7 - 1.6

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
@ Chelsea
Sat 17 Jan
0.78 - 1.78
predicted
vs Nottingham Forest
Sun 25 Jan
2.57 - 0.82
predicted
@ Aston Villa
Sun 1 Feb
0.74 - 2.21
predicted

Upset Profile

As Favorite (4 matches)
2 upset alerts, 1 converted(50% vulnerability)
As Underdog (17 matches)
4 upsets from 6 alert matches(67% conversion)

"This team is capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"

Contrarian Signals

Model Backed Them
2/5 correct(40% success)
Form can be misleading

"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 40% of the time"

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Tottenham Hotspur
10 matches played
1W - 4D - 5L
Last 5: DLLLL
Chelsea
9 matches played
3W - 4D - 2L
Last 5: DDLDW
West Ham United
9 matches played
7W - 1D - 1L
Last 5: WWDLW

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
11
Played
10
7
Wins
3
3
Draws
0
1
Losses
7
23
Goals For
12
10
Goals Against
18
24
Points
9