Brentford
Played
37
Record
14-10-13
Points
52
Goal Diff
+3
Form
DLWLD
Merit
2.1
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 83% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.29 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.75
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.46
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
83%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.52
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
27%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
38%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
41%
Accurate
16%
Partial
43%
Off
Total Predictions37
Avg pG Error0.97
Prediction BiasOver by 0.17
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
vs Crystal Palace
2 - 2
xG: 1.6 - 1.8
L
@ Manchester City
0 - 3
xG: 0.7 - 4.4
W
vs West Ham United
3 - 0
xG: 2.3 - 0.8
L
@ Manchester United
1 - 2
xG: 1.3 - 1.9
D
vs Fulham
0 - 0
xG: 2.3 - 0.8
D
vs Everton
2 - 2
xG: 2.3 - 1.6
Upcoming Fixtures
All PredictionsNo upcoming fixtures
Upset Profile
As Favorite (12 matches)
7 upset alerts, 4 converted(57% vulnerability)
As Underdog (25 matches)
6 upsets from 8 alert matches(75% conversion)
"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them and capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
3/7 correct(43% success)
Model Faded Them
1/3 correct fades(33% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 40% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Everton
10 matches played
3W - 4D - 3L
Last 5: DWDDL
Newcastle United
10 matches played
3W - 1D - 6L
Last 5: WWLWL
West Ham United
10 matches played
8W - 1D - 1L
Last 5: WWWDL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
19
Played
18
8
Wins
6
8
Draws
2
3
Losses
10
33
Goals For
21
21
Goals Against
30
32
Points
20