Brentford
Played
33
Record
13-9-11
Points
48
Goal Diff
+4
Form
DDDDD
Merit
1.9
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 81% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Signs of Recovery
After a rough patch, showing improvement in recent matches
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.33 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Solid on the Road
Keeping clean sheets in 31% of away matches
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.79
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.45
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
81%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.43
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
27%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
39%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
39%
Accurate
12%
Partial
49%
Off
Total Predictions33
Avg pG Error1.02
Prediction BiasOver by 0.18
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
vs Fulham
0 - 0
xG: 2.3 - 0.8
D
vs Everton
2 - 2
xG: 2.3 - 1.6
D
@ Leeds United
0 - 0
xG: 0.3 - 0.4
D
vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
xG: 2.8 - 1.8
D
@ AFC Bournemouth
0 - 0
xG: 0.7 - 2.3
W
@ Burnley
4 - 3
xG: 2.5 - 0.8
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sat 25 Apr
0.85 - 2.03
predicted
Sat 2 May
2.94 - 1.05
predicted
Sat 9 May
0.73 - 2.63
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (10 matches)
6 upset alerts, 4 converted(67% vulnerability)
As Underdog (23 matches)
6 upsets from 8 alert matches(75% conversion)
"This team is vulnerable when upset signals fire against them and capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
2/6 correct(33% success)
Model Faded Them
1/3 correct fades(33% fade success)
Form is reliable for this team
"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Everton
10 matches played
3W - 4D - 3L
Last 5: DWDDL
Newcastle United
10 matches played
3W - 1D - 6L
Last 5: WWLWL
Arsenal
10 matches played
1W - 3D - 6L
Last 5: DLDLL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
17
Played
16
7
Wins
6
7
Draws
2
3
Losses
8
28
Goals For
20
19
Goals Against
25
28
Points
20