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Premier League2025/2619th place

Burnley

Played
21
Record
3-4-14
Points
13
Goal Diff
-19
Form
DLLDD
Merit
1.6

Key Patterns

Struggling to Create

Only generating 0.95 expected goals per match

Defensive Concerns

Conceding 1.95 goals per match

Counter-Attack Style

Only 41% possession - playing on the break

Struggle Away

Conceding 2.60 goals per away match

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
0.95
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.05
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
110%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
2.17
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
14%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
14%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

52%
Accurate
33%
Partial
14%
Off
Total Predictions21
Avg pG Error0.61
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.10

"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"

Recent Form

All Results
D
vs Manchester United
2 - 2
xG: 0.3 - 2.5
L
@ Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
xG: 0.3 - 1.5
L
vs Newcastle United
1 - 3
xG: 1.3 - 2.5
D
vs Everton
0 - 0
xG: 1.3 - 1.3
D
@ AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
xG: 0.5 - 1.8
L
vs Fulham
2 - 3
xG: 2.0 - 1.6

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
@ Liverpool
Sat 17 Jan
0.60 - 2.26
predicted
vs Tottenham Hotspur
Sat 24 Jan
0.55 - 1.79
predicted
@ Sunderland
Mon 2 Feb
1.07 - 2.03
predicted

Upset Profile

As Underdog (21 matches)
2 upsets from 6 alert matches(33% conversion)

Contrarian Signals

Model Backed Them
1/1 correct(100% success)
Model Faded Them
0/1 correct fades

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Manchester United
16 matches played
1W - 6D - 9L
Last 5: DLDLD
Crystal Palace
15 matches played
6W - 2D - 7L
Last 5: LLLDD
Everton
15 matches played
6W - 2D - 7L
Last 5: DLLWL

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
11
Played
10
2
Wins
1
3
Draws
1
6
Losses
8
10
Goals For
12
15
Goals Against
26
9
Points
4