Burnley
Played
29
Record
4-7-18
Points
19
Goal Diff
-26
Form
LLDWL
Merit
1.9
Key Patterns
Struggling to Create
Only generating 0.94 expected goals per match
Defensive Concerns
Conceding 2.00 goals per match
Clinical Finishers
Converting 117% of expected goals into actual goals
Counter-Attack Style
Only 41% possession - playing on the break
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
0.94
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.10
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
117%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
2.17
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
10%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
14%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
45%
Accurate
31%
Partial
24%
Off
Total Predictions29
Avg pG Error0.75
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.15
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
@ Everton
0 - 2
xG: 0.8 - 1.2
L
vs Brentford
3 - 4
xG: 0.8 - 2.5
D
@ Chelsea
1 - 1
xG: 1.0 - 2.5
W
@ Crystal Palace
3 - 2
xG: 0.7 - 2.1
L
vs West Ham United
0 - 2
xG: 1.9 - 1.1
L
@ Sunderland
0 - 3
xG: 0.1 - 1.9
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sat 14 Mar
0.99 - 1.36
predicted
Sat 21 Mar
1.21 - 1.76
predicted
Sat 11 Apr
0.56 - 1.79
predicted
Upset Profile
As Underdog (29 matches)
4 upsets from 10 alert matches(40% conversion)
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/1 correct(100% success)
Model Faded Them
1/2 correct fades(50% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 67% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Chelsea
16 matches played
1W - 5D - 10L
Last 5: DLDLL
West Ham United
16 matches played
4W - 4D - 8L
Last 5: LLDLD
Tottenham Hotspur
16 matches played
2W - 3D - 11L
Last 5: DLLLL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
14
Played
15
2
Wins
2
4
Draws
3
8
Losses
10
15
Goals For
17
23
Goals Against
35
10
Points
9