Burnley
Played
37
Record
4-9-24
Points
21
Goal Diff
-37
Form
LDLLL
Merit
1.5
Key Patterns
Struggling to Create
Only generating 0.96 expected goals per match
Defensive Concerns
Conceding 2.00 goals per match
Counter-Attack Style
Only 42% possession - playing on the break
Struggle Away
Conceding 2.42 goals per away match
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
0.96
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.00
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
104%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
2.16
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
11%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
11%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
46%
Accurate
32%
Partial
22%
Off
Total Predictions37
Avg pG Error0.72
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.09
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
@ Arsenal
0 - 1
xG: 0.2 - 1.2
D
vs Aston Villa
2 - 2
xG: 1.7 - 1.8
L
@ Leeds United
1 - 3
xG: 0.4 - 2.1
L
vs Manchester City
0 - 1
xG: 1.0 - 3.4
L
@ Nottingham Forest
1 - 4
xG: 0.6 - 1.4
L
vs Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
xG: 0.8 - 1.1
Upcoming Fixtures
All PredictionsNo upcoming fixtures
Upset Profile
As Underdog (37 matches)
5 upsets from 13 alert matches(39% conversion)
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/1 correct(100% success)
Model Faded Them
1/2 correct fades(50% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 67% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Chelsea
16 matches played
1W - 5D - 10L
Last 5: DLDLL
West Ham United
16 matches played
4W - 4D - 8L
Last 5: LLDLD
Tottenham Hotspur
16 matches played
2W - 3D - 11L
Last 5: DLLLL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
18
Played
19
2
Wins
2
6
Draws
3
10
Losses
14
17
Goals For
20
28
Goals Against
46
12
Points
9