Burnley
Played
32
Record
4-8-20
Points
20
Goal Diff
-30
Form
LLDLL
Merit
1.6
Key Patterns
Struggling to Create
Only generating 0.99 expected goals per match
Defensive Concerns
Conceding 1.97 goals per match
Counter-Attack Style
Only 42% possession - playing on the break
Struggle Away
Conceding 2.38 goals per away match
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
0.99
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.03
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
104%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
2.18
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
13%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
13%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
44%
Accurate
34%
Partial
22%
Off
Total Predictions32
Avg pG Error0.74
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.09
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
vs Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
xG: 0.8 - 1.1
L
@ Fulham
1 - 3
xG: 1.9 - 3.5
D
vs AFC Bournemouth
0 - 0
xG: 1.7 - 2.4
L
@ Everton
0 - 2
xG: 0.8 - 1.2
L
vs Brentford
3 - 4
xG: 0.8 - 2.5
D
@ Chelsea
1 - 1
xG: 1.0 - 2.5
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sun 19 Apr
0.87 - 2.02
predicted
Wed 22 Apr
0.41 - 2.51
predicted
Sat 2 May
1.36 - 1.94
predicted
Upset Profile
As Underdog (32 matches)
5 upsets from 12 alert matches(42% conversion)
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/1 correct(100% success)
Model Faded Them
1/2 correct fades(50% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 67% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
West Ham United
16 matches played
4W - 4D - 8L
Last 5: LLDLD
Crystal Palace
16 matches played
7W - 2D - 7L
Last 5: WLLLD
Everton
16 matches played
6W - 2D - 8L
Last 5: LDLLW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
16
Played
16
2
Wins
2
5
Draws
3
9
Losses
11
15
Goals For
18
25
Goals Against
38
11
Points
9