Chelsea
Played
37
Record
14-10-13
Points
52
Goal Diff
+7
Form
WDLLL
Merit
1.6
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 80% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Controlling Possession
Averaging 58% possession - dictating the tempo
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.39 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.93
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.54
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
80%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.51
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
24%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
38%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
43%
Accurate
16%
Partial
41%
Off
Total Predictions37
Avg pG Error0.86
Prediction BiasOver by 0.04
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsW
vs Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 1
xG: 1.1 - 2.1
D
@ Liverpool
1 - 1
xG: 0.6 - 0.6
L
vs Nottingham Forest
1 - 3
xG: 2.2 - 2.3
L
@ Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 3
xG: 0.3 - 2.5
L
vs Manchester United
0 - 1
xG: 1.3 - 0.4
L
vs Manchester City
0 - 3
xG: 1.2 - 2.4
Upcoming Fixtures
All PredictionsNo upcoming fixtures
Upset Profile
As Favorite (26 matches)
6 upset alerts, 3 converted(50% vulnerability)
As Underdog (11 matches)
2 upsets from 2 alert matches(100% conversion)
"This team is capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
2/6 correct(33% success)
Model Faded Them
0/2 correct fades
Form is reliable for this team
"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Arsenal
20 matches played
4W - 6D - 10L
Last 5: LDLDL
Liverpool
20 matches played
4W - 9D - 7L
Last 5: DWWLL
Manchester City
20 matches played
5W - 3D - 12L
Last 5: LDLLD
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
19
Played
18
7
Wins
7
5
Draws
5
7
Losses
6
26
Goals For
31
25
Goals Against
25
26
Points
26