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Premier League2025/268th place

Chelsea

Played
21
Record
8-7-6
Points
31
Goal Diff
+10
Form
LDDLD
Merit
1.8

Key Patterns

Solid at the Back

Keeping clean sheets in 38% of matches

Signs of Recovery

After a rough patch, showing improvement in recent matches

Controlling Possession

Averaging 58% possession - dictating the tempo

Due for a Bounce Back

Scoring 0.28 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
1.90
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.62
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
85%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.48
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
38%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
38%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

52%
Accurate
19%
Partial
29%
Off
Total Predictions21
Avg pG Error0.73
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.10

"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - especially when they're underdogs"

Recent Form

All Results
L
@ Fulham
1 - 2
xG: 2.5 - 1.1
D
@ Manchester City
1 - 1
xG: 2.0 - 1.0
D
vs AFC Bournemouth
2 - 2
xG: 2.3 - 3.5
L
vs Aston Villa
1 - 2
xG: 2.0 - 2.1
D
@ Newcastle United
2 - 2
xG: 1.0 - 2.9
W
vs Everton
2 - 0
xG: 2.6 - 1.3

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
vs Brentford
Sat 17 Jan
2.02 - 0.74
predicted
@ Crystal Palace
Sun 25 Jan
1.69 - 1.37
predicted
vs West Ham United
Sat 31 Jan
1.71 - 1.12
predicted

Upset Profile

As Favorite (15 matches)
2 upset alerts, 0 converted
As Underdog (6 matches)
2 upsets from 2 alert matches(100% conversion)

"This team is reliable even when upset signals are present and capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"

Contrarian Signals

Model Backed Them
0/1 correct
Model Faded Them
0/1 correct fades

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Everton
19 matches played
9W - 5D - 5L
Last 5: WWDWL
Crystal Palace
19 matches played
14W - 3D - 2L
Last 5: DDDWW
Tottenham Hotspur
19 matches played
13W - 2D - 4L
Last 5: WWWWW

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
10
Played
11
4
Wins
4
3
Draws
4
3
Losses
3
15
Goals For
19
11
Goals Against
13
15
Points
16