Chelsea
Played
28
Record
12-9-7
Points
45
Goal Diff
+16
Form
LDDWW
Merit
2.4
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 84% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Controlling Possession
Averaging 59% possession - dictating the tempo
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.33 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
2.08
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.75
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
84%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.49
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
32%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
43%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
50%
Accurate
21%
Partial
29%
Off
Total Predictions28
Avg pG Error0.74
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.14
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
@ Arsenal
1 - 2
xG: 1.4 - 1.7
D
vs Burnley
1 - 1
xG: 2.5 - 1.0
D
vs Leeds United
2 - 2
xG: 3.2 - 1.3
W
@ Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 - 1
xG: 3.8 - 1.1
W
vs West Ham United
3 - 2
xG: 2.7 - 1.7
W
@ Crystal Palace
3 - 1
xG: 3.1 - 2.4
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Wed 4 Mar
1.48 - 1.91
predicted
Sat 14 Mar
1.71 - 0.91
predicted
Sat 21 Mar
1.57 - 1.40
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (21 matches)
2 upset alerts, 0 converted
As Underdog (7 matches)
2 upsets from 2 alert matches(100% conversion)
"This team is reliable even when upset signals are present and capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/2 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
0/1 correct fades
Form is reliable for this team
"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
West Ham United
20 matches played
12W - 3D - 5L
Last 5: WWWWW
Crystal Palace
20 matches played
15W - 3D - 2L
Last 5: WDDDW
Arsenal
20 matches played
4W - 6D - 10L
Last 5: LDLDL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
14
Played
14
6
Wins
6
5
Draws
4
3
Losses
4
23
Goals For
26
16
Goals Against
17
23
Points
22