Chelsea
Played
32
Record
13-9-10
Points
48
Goal Diff
+12
Form
LLLWL
Merit
2.5
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 80% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Controlling Possession
Averaging 58% possession - dictating the tempo
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.40 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
2.06
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.66
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
80%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.49
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
28%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
41%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
44%
Accurate
19%
Partial
38%
Off
Total Predictions32
Avg pG Error0.85
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.08
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
vs Manchester City
0 - 3
xG: 1.2 - 2.4
L
@ Everton
0 - 3
xG: 1.4 - 1.4
L
vs Newcastle United
0 - 1
xG: 1.7 - 1.0
W
@ Aston Villa
4 - 1
xG: 3.4 - 1.1
L
@ Arsenal
1 - 2
xG: 1.4 - 1.7
D
vs Burnley
1 - 1
xG: 2.5 - 1.0
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sat 18 Apr
1.64 - 1.32
predicted
Tue 21 Apr
1.36 - 1.16
predicted
Sat 2 May
1.36 - 1.02
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (23 matches)
4 upset alerts, 2 converted(50% vulnerability)
As Underdog (9 matches)
2 upsets from 2 alert matches(100% conversion)
"This team is capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/2 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
0/2 correct fades
Form is reliable for this team
"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Arsenal
20 matches played
4W - 6D - 10L
Last 5: LDLDL
Manchester City
20 matches played
5W - 3D - 12L
Last 5: LDLLD
Everton
20 matches played
9W - 5D - 6L
Last 5: LWWDW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
16
Played
16
6
Wins
7
5
Draws
4
5
Losses
5
23
Goals For
30
20
Goals Against
21
23
Points
25