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Serie A2025/2617th place

Cremonese

Played
27
Record
5-9-13
Points
24
Goal Diff
-17
Form
LLDLL
Merit
1.2

Key Patterns

Struggling to Convert

Only converting 75% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table

Due for a Bounce Back

Scoring 0.26 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
1.04
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
0.78
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
75%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.96
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
26%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
19%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

52%
Accurate
26%
Partial
22%
Off
Total Predictions27
Avg pG Error0.66
Prediction BiasOver by 0.11

"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"

Recent Form

All Results
L
vs AC Milan
0 - 2
xG: 1.1 - 3.9
L
@ Roma
0 - 3
xG: 0.3 - 2.6
D
vs Genoa
0 - 0
xG: 1.4 - 1.3
L
@ Atalanta
1 - 2
xG: 0.9 - 3.1
L
vs Inter
0 - 2
xG: 0.5 - 2.2
L
@ Sassuolo
0 - 1
xG: 0.8 - 1.4

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
@ Lecce
Sun 8 Mar
0.93 - 1.19
predicted
vs Fiorentina
Sun 15 Mar
@ Parma
Sun 22 Mar

Upset Profile

As Underdog (27 matches)
4 upsets from 8 alert matches(50% conversion)

Contrarian Signals

Model Backed Them
0/2 correct
Model Faded Them
2/2 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form can be misleading

"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 50% of the time"

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Hellas Verona
4 matches played
0W - 3D - 1L
Last 5: DDDL
Juventus
4 matches played
0W - 0D - 4L
Last 5: LLLL
Atalanta
4 matches played
0W - 2D - 2L
Last 5: LDLD

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
13
Played
14
2
Wins
3
6
Draws
3
5
Losses
8
11
Goals For
10
17
Goals Against
21
12
Points
12