Cremonese
Played
32
Record
6-9-17
Points
27
Goal Diff
-21
Form
LLWLL
Merit
2.3
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 80% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.02
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
0.81
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
80%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.85
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
25%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
19%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
53%
Accurate
25%
Partial
22%
Off
Total Predictions32
Avg pG Error0.64
Prediction BiasOver by 0.08
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
@ Cagliari
0 - 1
xG: 0.3 - 1.4
L
vs Bologna
1 - 2
xG: 1.4 - 1.6
W
@ Parma
2 - 0
xG: 0.8 - 0.3
L
vs Fiorentina
1 - 4
xG: 1.5 - 1.1
L
@ Lecce
1 - 2
xG: 0.8 - 1.8
L
vs AC Milan
0 - 2
xG: 1.1 - 3.9
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sun 19 Apr
0.91 - 1.50
predicted
Fri 24 Apr
Sun 3 May
Upset Profile
As Underdog (32 matches)
5 upsets from 11 alert matches(46% conversion)
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/3 correct(33% success)
Model Faded Them
2/2 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 60% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Lecce
4 matches played
1W - 1D - 2L
Last 5: LWLD
Juventus
4 matches played
0W - 0D - 4L
Last 5: LLLL
Hellas Verona
4 matches played
0W - 3D - 1L
Last 5: DDDL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
15
Played
17
2
Wins
4
6
Draws
3
7
Losses
10
13
Goals For
13
23
Goals Against
24
12
Points
15