AC Milan
Played
32
Record
18-9-5
Points
63
Goal Diff
+20
Form
LLWLW
Merit
1.7
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 82% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Solid at the Back
Keeping clean sheets in 41% of matches
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.33 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Solid on the Road
Keeping clean sheets in 44% of away matches
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.80
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.47
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
82%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.13
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
41%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
56%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
47%
Accurate
25%
Partial
28%
Off
Total Predictions32
Avg pG Error0.78
Prediction BiasOver by 0.04
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
vs Udinese
0 - 3
xG: 1.6 - 1.6
L
@ Napoli
0 - 1
xG: 0.8 - 0.9
W
vs Torino
3 - 2
xG: 1.4 - 2.4
L
@ Lazio
0 - 1
xG: 1.2 - 0.5
W
vs Inter
1 - 0
xG: 0.8 - 1.4
W
@ Cremonese
2 - 0
xG: 3.9 - 1.1
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sun 19 Apr
1.98 - 0.90
predicted
Sun 26 Apr
Sun 3 May
Upset Profile
As Favorite (22 matches)
7 upset alerts, 2 converted(29% vulnerability)
As Underdog (10 matches)
2 upsets from 2 alert matches(100% conversion)
"This team is capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/1 correct(100% success)
Model Faded Them
3/4 correct fades(75% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 80% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Napoli
20 matches played
5W - 5D - 10L
Last 5: LWLLW
Bologna
20 matches played
15W - 4D - 1L
Last 5: WWWLD
Udinese
20 matches played
9W - 5D - 6L
Last 5: LWWWW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
16
Played
16
9
Wins
9
4
Draws
5
3
Losses
2
22
Goals For
25
16
Goals Against
11
31
Points
32