AC Milan
Played
27
Record
16-9-2
Points
57
Goal Diff
+23
Form
WLDWW
Merit
2.6
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 83% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Solid at the Back
Keeping clean sheets in 44% of matches
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.32 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.91
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.59
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
83%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.08
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
44%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
59%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
52%
Accurate
26%
Partial
22%
Off
Total Predictions27
Avg pG Error0.72
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.08
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - more accurate in away matches"
Recent Form
All ResultsW
@ Cremonese
2 - 0
xG: 3.9 - 1.1
L
vs Parma
0 - 1
xG: 1.6 - 0.8
D
vs Como
1 - 1
xG: 1.2 - 1.6
W
@ Pisa
2 - 1
xG: 2.2 - 0.9
W
@ Bologna
3 - 0
xG: 3.4 - 0.4
D
@ Roma
1 - 1
xG: 0.6 - 2.1
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sun 8 Mar
Sun 15 Mar
Sun 22 Mar
Upset Profile
As Favorite (19 matches)
6 upset alerts, 2 converted(33% vulnerability)
As Underdog (8 matches)
2 upsets from 2 alert matches(100% conversion)
"This team is capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/1 correct(100% success)
Model Faded Them
3/4 correct fades(75% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 80% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Bologna
20 matches played
15W - 4D - 1L
Last 5: WWWLD
Fiorentina
20 matches played
10W - 5D - 5L
Last 5: DWDLW
Roma
20 matches played
9W - 6D - 5L
Last 5: DWLDW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
13
Played
14
7
Wins
9
4
Draws
5
2
Losses
0
18
Goals For
25
11
Goals Against
9
25
Points
32