Serie A2025/262nd place

AC Milan

Played
20
Record
12-7-1
Points
43
Goal Diff
+17
Form
WDDWW
Merit
2.2

Key Patterns

Solid at the Back

Keeping clean sheets in 45% of matches

Solid on the Road

Keeping clean sheets in 50% of away matches

Season Performance

Full Stats
xG per Match
1.78
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.65
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
93%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.10
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
45%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
60%
Matches won

How We Predict This Team

50%
Accurate
35%
Partial
15%
Off
Total Predictions20
Avg pG Error0.62
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.20

"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"

Recent Form

All Results
W
@ Como
3 - 1
xG: 1.4 - 1.9
D
@ Fiorentina
1 - 1
xG: 2.0 - 2.4
D
vs Genoa
1 - 1
xG: 2.1 - 1.4
W
@ Cagliari
1 - 0
xG: 0.9 - 0.3
W
vs Hellas Verona
3 - 0
xG: 2.9 - 0.3
D
vs Sassuolo
2 - 2
xG: 1.8 - 1.0

Upcoming Fixtures

All Predictions
vs Lecce
Sun 18 Jan
2.61 - 0.76
predicted
@ Roma
Sun 25 Jan
@ Bologna
Sun 1 Feb

Upset Profile

As Favorite (15 matches)
4 upset alerts, 2 converted(50% vulnerability)
As Underdog (5 matches)
1 upsets from 1 alert matches(100% conversion)

Contrarian Signals

Model Faded Them
3/4 correct fades(75% fade success)
Form can be misleading

"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 75% of the time"

Key Opponents

Full H2H
Fiorentina
20 matches played
10W - 5D - 5L
Last 5: DWDLW
Juventus
19 matches played
5W - 5D - 9L
Last 5: DLDDL
Atalanta
19 matches played
5W - 8D - 6L
Last 5: DLLDL

Home vs Away Performance

Home
Stat
Away
10
Played
10
6
Wins
6
3
Draws
4
1
Losses
0
16
Goals For
17
9
Goals Against
7
21
Points
22