AC Milan
Played
37
Record
20-10-7
Points
70
Goal Diff
+19
Form
WLLDW
Merit
1.7
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 82% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Solid at the Back
Keeping clean sheets in 40% of matches
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.30 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Solid on the Road
Keeping clean sheets in 42% of away matches
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.70
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.41
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
82%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.15
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
41%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
54%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
43%
Accurate
27%
Partial
30%
Off
Total Predictions37
Avg pG Error0.83
Prediction BiasOver by 0.13
"This team is harder to predict than average - especially when they're underdogs"
Recent Form
All ResultsW
@ Genoa
2 - 1
xG: 1.6 - 1.7
L
vs Atalanta
2 - 3
xG: 2.3 - 1.6
L
@ Sassuolo
0 - 2
xG: 0.3 - 2.2
D
vs Juventus
0 - 0
xG: 0.6 - 0.5
W
@ Hellas Verona
1 - 0
xG: 0.8 - 0.7
L
vs Udinese
0 - 3
xG: 1.6 - 1.6
Upcoming Fixtures
All PredictionsNo upcoming fixtures
Upset Profile
As Favorite (26 matches)
7 upset alerts, 2 converted(29% vulnerability)
As Underdog (11 matches)
2 upsets from 2 alert matches(100% conversion)
"This team is capable of pulling off upsets when signals favor them"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
2/4 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
3/4 correct fades(75% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 62% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Napoli
20 matches played
5W - 5D - 10L
Last 5: LWLLW
Bologna
20 matches played
15W - 4D - 1L
Last 5: WWWLD
Udinese
20 matches played
9W - 5D - 6L
Last 5: LWWWW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
18
Played
19
9
Wins
11
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
3
24
Goals For
28
19
Goals Against
14
32
Points
38