Arsenal
Played
29
Record
19-7-3
Points
64
Goal Diff
+36
Form
WWDDW
Merit
2.6
Key Patterns
Solid at the Back
Keeping clean sheets in 45% of matches
Controlling Possession
Averaging 57% possession - dictating the tempo
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Prolific at Home
Scoring 2.36 goals per home match
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
2.01
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
2.00
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
99%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
0.79
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
45%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
66%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
38%
Accurate
17%
Partial
45%
Off
Total Predictions29
Avg pG Error1.01
Prediction BiasUnder by 0.44
"This team is harder to predict than average"
Recent Form
All ResultsW
vs Chelsea
2 - 1
xG: 1.7 - 1.4
W
@ Tottenham Hotspur
4 - 1
xG: 3.3 - 0.4
D
@ Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
xG: 2.0 - 0.2
D
@ Brentford
1 - 1
xG: 0.8 - 1.8
W
vs Sunderland
3 - 0
xG: 1.2 - 0.4
W
@ Leeds United
4 - 0
xG: 3.5 - 0.2
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Wed 4 Mar
1.75 - 1.02
predicted
Sat 14 Mar
1.82 - 0.66
predicted
Sat 11 Apr
2.34 - 0.96
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (27 matches)
6 upset alerts, 1 converted(17% vulnerability)
As Underdog (2 matches)
0 upsets from 0 alert matches
"This team is reliable even when upset signals are present"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/2 correct(50% success)
Model Faded Them
1/1 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 67% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Chelsea
20 matches played
10W - 6D - 4L
Last 5: WDWDW
Tottenham Hotspur
20 matches played
11W - 4D - 5L
Last 5: WWWWW
Liverpool
20 matches played
3W - 7D - 10L
Last 5: DLDDW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
14
Played
15
11
Wins
8
2
Draws
5
1
Losses
2
33
Goals For
25
9
Goals Against
13
35
Points
29