Athletic Club
Played
31
Record
11-5-15
Points
38
Goal Diff
-12
Form
LLWLL
Merit
1.9
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 70% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.46 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.52
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.06
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
70%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.23
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
16%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
35%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
42%
Accurate
32%
Partial
26%
Off
Total Predictions31
Avg pG Error0.71
Prediction BiasOver by 0.20
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"
Recent Form
All ResultsL
vs Villarreal
1 - 2
xG: 1.3 - 1.6
L
@ Getafe
0 - 2
xG: 0.5 - 2.0
W
vs Real Betis
2 - 1
xG: 1.9 - 0.6
L
@ Girona
0 - 3
xG: 2.0 - 2.2
L
vs FC Barcelona
0 - 1
xG: 1.1 - 0.6
D
@ Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
xG: 0.4 - 1.4
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Tue 21 Apr
1.10 - 0.81
predicted
Sat 25 Apr
1.21 - 1.41
predicted
Sun 3 May
0.85 - 1.64
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (14 matches)
3 upset alerts, 0 converted
As Underdog (17 matches)
1 upsets from 7 alert matches(14% conversion)
"This team is reliable even when upset signals are present and rarely capitalize on upset opportunities"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/6 correct(17% success)
Model Faded Them
1/1 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form is reliable for this team
"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Real Betis
20 matches played
10W - 5D - 5L
Last 5: WWDDL
Real Sociedad
20 matches played
7W - 5D - 8L
Last 5: DLDWW
FC Barcelona
20 matches played
1W - 4D - 15L
Last 5: LLLLD
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
16
Played
15
8
Wins
3
2
Draws
3
6
Losses
9
20
Goals For
13
19
Goals Against
26
26
Points
12