Athletic Club
Played
26
Record
10-5-11
Points
35
Goal Diff
-6
Form
DWWWD
Merit
2.7
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 74% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.40 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.55
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.15
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
74%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.20
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
19%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
38%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
46%
Accurate
31%
Partial
23%
Off
Total Predictions26
Avg pG Error0.68
Prediction BiasOver by 0.13
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate - more accurate in away matches"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
@ Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
xG: 0.4 - 1.4
W
vs Elche
2 - 1
xG: 3.4 - 0.8
W
@ Real Oviedo
2 - 1
xG: 1.2 - 0.9
W
vs Levante
4 - 2
xG: 2.8 - 0.6
D
vs Real Sociedad
1 - 1
xG: 0.9 - 1.6
L
@ Sevilla
1 - 2
xG: 1.9 - 1.4
Upcoming Fixtures
All Predictions
Sat 7 Mar
1.51 - 1.63
predicted
Sun 15 Mar
1.05 - 1.53
predicted
Sun 22 Mar
1.20 - 1.30
predicted
Upset Profile
As Favorite (13 matches)
2 upset alerts, 0 converted
As Underdog (13 matches)
1 upsets from 4 alert matches(25% conversion)
"This team is reliable even when upset signals are present"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
1/6 correct(17% success)
Model Faded Them
1/1 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form is reliable for this team
"Form and recent stats are generally reliable indicators for this team"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Real Sociedad
20 matches played
7W - 5D - 8L
Last 5: DLDWW
Sevilla
20 matches played
9W - 3D - 8L
Last 5: LWWDW
Atlético Madrid
19 matches played
5W - 3D - 11L
Last 5: WLLLW
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
13
Played
13
7
Wins
3
2
Draws
3
4
Losses
7
17
Goals For
13
15
Goals Against
21
23
Points
12