Athletic Club
Played
37
Record
13-6-18
Points
45
Goal Diff
-13
Form
DLLWL
Merit
2.0
Key Patterns
Struggling to Convert
Only converting 74% of expected goals - leaving chances on the table
Due for a Bounce Back
Scoring 0.38 fewer goals than expected - expect improvement
Unpredictable Results
High match-to-match variance makes them hard to predict
Season Performance
Full StatsxG per Match
1.49
Expected goals created
Goals per Match
1.11
Actual scoring rate
Finishing
74%
Goals vs xG ratio
xGA per Match
1.22
Expected goals against
Clean Sheet %
16%
Matches without conceding
Win Rate
35%
Matches won
How We Predict This Team
41%
Accurate
30%
Partial
30%
Off
Total Predictions37
Avg pG Error0.77
Prediction BiasOver by 0.15
"Our predictions for this team are reasonably accurate"
Recent Form
All ResultsD
vs Celta de Vigo
1 - 1
xG: 2.9 - 0.3
L
@ Espanyol
0 - 2
xG: 0.9 - 0.8
L
vs Valencia
0 - 1
xG: 0.9 - 1.5
W
@ Deportivo Alavés
4 - 2
xG: 0.9 - 0.6
L
@ Atlético Madrid
2 - 3
xG: 1.0 - 2.5
W
vs Osasuna
1 - 0
Upcoming Fixtures
All PredictionsNo upcoming fixtures
Upset Profile
As Favorite (17 matches)
6 upset alerts, 2 converted(33% vulnerability)
As Underdog (20 matches)
1 upsets from 8 alert matches(13% conversion)
"This team is rarely capitalize on upset opportunities"
Contrarian Signals
Model Backed Them
3/9 correct(33% success)
Model Faded Them
2/2 correct fades(100% fade success)
Form can be misleading
"Form can be misleading - contrarian picks have been right 45% of the time"
Key Opponents
Full H2H
Real Betis
20 matches played
10W - 5D - 5L
Last 5: WWDDL
Real Sociedad
20 matches played
7W - 5D - 8L
Last 5: DLDWW
Valencia
20 matches played
6W - 7D - 7L
Last 5: LLWWL
Home vs Away Performance
Home
Stat
Away
19
Played
18
9
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
11
22
Goals For
19
21
Goals Against
33
30
Points
15